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Red54
27223.1
272922.2
518114.7
Blue64
7522.9
255922.9
30411.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615302040801001201401605464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#8
23.10.1
23.923.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 0.2
22.90.1
22.622.7
Auto0.9
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Second
22.20.1
23.022.8
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 0.6
75
#9
22.90.1
22.522.7
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
5181
#15
14.70.1
15.515.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 3.2
304
#22
11.50.1
11.111.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0