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Red32
121824.4
2531.0
70812.6
Blue55
116820.2
164722.6
1117.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705101001503255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#4
31.00.5
31.430.9
Auto1.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 8.4
1647
#11
22.60.0
21.221.2
Auto0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
1218
#10
24.40.5
24.824.3
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 4.2
1168
#19
20.20.0
18.818.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Third
708
#29
12.60.5
13.112.6
Auto0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 4.7
11
#24
17.40.0
16.015.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0