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Red1
70912.6
445410.4
511318.2
Blue9
508012.0
10210.6
7522.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23430608010012014016019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5113
#16
18.21.2
10.29.1
Auto0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 4.7
75
#9
22.92.7
20.617.9
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
709
#21
12.61.2
8.17.0
Auto0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 0.6
5080
#23
12.02.7
9.16.4
Auto0.4
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
4454
#30
10.41.2
8.57.3
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 0.2
102
#28
10.62.7
11.99.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.7
End0.0