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Red4
540411.6
463718.4
27223.1
Blue14
363710.7
445410.4
54908.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37280206080100120414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#8
23.12.7
12.710.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 12.4
3637
#32
10.71.4
9.78.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Second
4637
#14
18.42.7
14.111.3
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 8.0
4454
#30
10.41.4
7.35.9
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
5404
#26
11.62.7
9.97.2
Auto1.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
red by 2.9
5490
#27
8.61.4
13.512.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0