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Red80
121824.4
164035.9
116820.2
Blue14
35715.7
43733.7
25395.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70350501001502008014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.6
29.431.0
Auto1.3
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 20.2
357
#25
15.72.3
18.416.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Second
1218
#10
24.41.6
28.229.8
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 19.2
2539
#33
5.22.3
15.813.5
Auto0.2
Teleop5.0
End0.0
Third
1168
#19
20.21.6
9.010.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 16.5
4373
#36
3.72.3
7.75.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.0
End0.0