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Red20
70812.6
30411.5
54908.6
Blue14
48622.1
518114.7
25395.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164901001502014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#29
12.60.1
4.94.8
Auto0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 9.4
486
#12
22.12.5
18.215.7
Auto0.4
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Second
304
#22
11.50.1
12.512.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 3.2
5181
#15
14.72.3
14.612.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
5490
#27
8.60.1
4.24.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 3.5
2539
#33
5.22.3
12.810.5
Auto0.2
Teleop5.0
End0.0