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Red92
511318.2
540411.6
259038.9
Blue80
83418.0
140342.7
34110.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555002040801001201409280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.92.6
35.938.6
Auto2.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 3.8
42.72.0
27.929.9
Auto0.3
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
5113
#16
18.22.6
14.717.3
Auto0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 0.2
834
#13
18.02.0
14.716.7
Auto0.7
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Third
5404
#26
11.62.6
5.17.8
Auto1.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
red by 0.7
341
#31
10.92.0
9.911.9
Auto0.5
Teleop10.4
End0.0