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Red34
49548.3
34110.9
48622.1
Blue12
43733.7
83418.0
463718.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343902060801001201403412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#12
22.10.2
19.519.3
Auto0.4
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 3.6
4637
#14
18.41.9
19.517.7
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
341
#31
10.90.2
11.911.8
Auto0.5
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 7.1
834
#13
18.01.9
16.714.8
Auto0.7
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Third
4954
#35
8.30.2
4.94.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.5
End0.0
red by 4.6
4373
#36
3.71.9
3.71.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.0
End0.0