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Red36
259038.9
1117.4
30411.5
Blue34
518114.7
540112.8
121824.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6537020801001201401603634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.91.0
38.637.6
Auto2.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
red by 14.5
1218
#10
24.40.2
22.622.4
Auto0.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Second
11
#24
17.41.0
11.810.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 2.6
5181
#15
14.70.2
12.312.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
304
#22
11.51.0
12.411.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5401
#18
12.80.2
8.28.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0