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Red2
363710.7
34110.9
164035.9
Blue38
70912.6
70812.6
108918.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58310204080100120140238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.92.9
32.329.3
Auto1.3
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 17.0
1089
#20
18.90.1
17.717.8
Auto1.3
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
341
#31
10.92.9
11.88.8
Auto0.5
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 1.7
708
#29
12.60.1
10.610.7
Auto0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
3637
#32
10.72.9
12.09.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 1.9
709
#21
12.60.1
7.87.9
Auto0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0