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Red52
259038.9
255922.9
43733.7
Blue92
140342.7
316713.7
1117.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595602040801001201401605292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.5
37.637.0
Auto2.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
blue by 3.8
42.72.0
34.036.1
Auto0.3
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
22.90.5
21.220.7
Auto0.9
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 5.5
11
#24
17.42.0
10.812.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
4373
#36
3.70.5
1.81.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 10.0
3167
#17
13.72.0
13.915.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.0
End0.0