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Red68
7522.9
35715.7
36072.2
Blue76
518114.7
164722.6
540411.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303702060801001201406876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#9
22.92.2
19.321.5
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 0.3
1647
#11
22.62.4
15.718.1
Auto0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
357
#25
15.72.2
13.015.1
Auto0.2
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 1.0
5181
#15
14.72.4
12.114.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
3607
#37
2.22.2
0.32.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.5
End0.0
blue by 9.3
5404
#26
11.62.4
9.411.8
Auto1.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0