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Red72
255922.9
54908.6
540112.8
Blue158
140342.7
164035.9
70912.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307805010015072158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.91.9
20.722.6
Auto0.9
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 19.7
42.74.7
36.140.8
Auto0.3
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
5401
#18
12.81.9
10.912.8
Auto0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 23.2
35.94.7
29.334.0
Auto1.3
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
5490
#27
8.61.9
6.88.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 4.0
709
#21
12.64.7
7.912.6
Auto0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0