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Red63
164035.9
140342.7
363710.7
Blue113
259038.9
260743.2
54079.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908005015020025063113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.5
43.442.9
Auto0.3
Teleop42.4
End0.0
blue by 0.5
43.20.5
41.041.4
Auto1.7
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
35.90.5
36.736.2
Auto1.3
Teleop34.7
End0.0
blue by 3.0
38.90.5
36.737.2
Auto2.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Third
3637
#32
10.70.5
11.511.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
red by 1.4
5407
#34
9.30.5
7.17.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.1
End0.0