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Red16
30419.5
162614.4
397424.9
Blue30
57335.8
223423.7
32118.8
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454302060801001630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#12
24.92.5
19.617.1
Auto0.6
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 1.2
2234
#17
23.70.7
28.327.6
Auto1.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Second
304
#10
19.51.5
14.112.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 0.8
321
#11
18.81.2
8.27.0
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
1626
#28
14.42.5
12.710.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.9
End0.0
red by 8.6
5733
#33
5.81.2
8.16.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.2
End0.0