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Red60
518118.7
249517.2
475016.1
Blue66
56408.1
48420.9
81623.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374301001502006066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#15
18.71.0
15.016.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 4.8
816
#7
23.61.8
15.917.7
Auto0.4
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
2495
#26
17.21.7
13.715.4
Auto0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 3.7
484
#14
20.91.8
20.422.3
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
4750
#20
16.11.7
10.812.5
Auto0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 8.0
5640
#29
8.11.8
7.69.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop8.7
End0.0