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Red64
223423.7
43326.0
121834.0
Blue63
36529.2
70818.2
397424.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804901001506463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.7
23.723.0
Auto0.3
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 4.8
365
#6
29.20.6
25.225.9
Auto1.3
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
433
#4
26.01.2
25.424.2
Auto0.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
red by 1.0
3974
#12
24.90.6
19.119.7
Auto0.6
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
2234
#17
23.70.7
28.828.1
Auto1.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 5.5
708
#9
18.20.4
11.011.3
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0