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Red36
223423.7
457515.5
437311.4
Blue22
218015.4
50807.7
48420.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524202060801001203622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2234
#17
23.70.8
28.127.3
Auto1.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 2.9
484
#14
20.91.9
22.320.4
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Second
4575
#19
15.51.3
18.016.6
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 0.1
2180
#30
15.41.9
15.313.4
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
4373
#18
11.40.8
5.95.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 3.7
5080
#34
7.71.1
7.36.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0