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Red90
434219.6
171228.9
32118.8
Blue117
20332.5
22553.9
475016.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377905010015020090117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.93.7
23.627.4
Auto0.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
blue by 25.0
225
#1
53.93.5
42.946.4
Auto3.2
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Second
4342
#21
19.63.7
11.715.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 12.9
203
#2
32.53.5
19.523.0
Auto0.4
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
321
#11
18.83.7
9.713.5
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 2.6
4750
#20
16.13.5
12.516.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0