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Red67
219111.8
249517.2
30419.5
Blue105
48420.9
22553.9
540713.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358105010015020067105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
304
#10
19.51.2
12.814.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 34.4
225
#1
53.92.3
46.448.7
Auto3.2
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Second
2495
#26
17.21.9
15.117.0
Auto0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 3.7
484
#14
20.92.3
20.422.7
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
2191
#31
11.81.9
15.917.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 1.6
5407
#16
13.41.4
10.311.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.6
End0.0