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Red45
48618.5
363717.7
223423.7
Blue12
475016.1
219111.8
392916.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5945020801001201404512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2234
#17
23.70.7
25.124.4
Auto1.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 6.9
3929
#24
16.82.9
15.512.6
Auto0.5
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Second
486
#22
18.50.7
20.920.2
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 2.4
4750
#20
16.12.9
15.812.9
Auto0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
3637
#13
17.70.7
13.412.7
Auto0.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 5.9
2191
#31
11.82.9
17.814.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0