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Red58
223423.7
392916.8
218015.4
Blue40
568415.5
34119.5
219111.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534102060801001201401605840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2234
#17
23.70.5
24.424.9
Auto1.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 4.2
341
#8
19.50.1
15.915.9
Auto0.6
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
3929
#24
16.80.8
12.613.4
Auto0.5
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 1.3
5684
#23
15.50.1
13.813.9
Auto0.7
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
2180
#30
15.40.8
16.016.8
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 3.6
2191
#31
11.80.1
14.915.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.2
End0.0