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Red98
397424.9
81623.6
363717.7
Blue67
171228.9
457515.5
48618.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457001001502009867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#12
24.93.4
19.522.9
Auto0.6
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 4.0
28.90.1
29.629.5
Auto0.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
816
#7
23.63.4
18.421.8
Auto0.4
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 5.1
486
#22
18.50.1
20.220.1
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
3637
#13
17.72.4
12.715.1
Auto0.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 2.2
4575
#19
15.50.1
19.119.0
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0