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Red85
22553.9
518118.7
50807.7
Blue6
249517.2
149511.0
209511.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7632050100150856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
53.90.9
48.148.9
Auto3.2
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 36.7
2495
#26
17.22.3
19.717.4
Auto0.0
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
5181
#15
18.70.7
15.816.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 7.7
1495
#32
11.02.3
10.68.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
5080
#34
7.70.7
8.08.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 3.3
2095
#25
11.02.3
10.07.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0