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Red66
568415.5
48618.5
475016.1
Blue63
437311.4
434219.6
397424.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465101001502006663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#22
18.50.9
18.018.8
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 6.5
3974
#12
24.90.6
23.123.7
Auto0.6
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
4750
#20
16.11.0
15.116.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 3.5
4342
#21
19.60.6
19.019.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5684
#23
15.51.0
15.216.2
Auto0.7
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 4.1
4373
#18
11.40.6
9.610.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0