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Red65
48420.9
32118.8
363717.7
Blue29
34119.5
20332.5
48618.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527101001506529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#14
20.90.1
20.620.8
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 11.6
203
#2
32.50.7
32.431.7
Auto0.4
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
321
#11
18.80.1
18.518.6
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 0.8
341
#8
19.50.7
19.518.8
Auto0.6
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
3637
#13
17.70.1
17.517.6
Auto0.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 0.8
486
#22
18.50.7
18.417.7
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0