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Red124
121834.0
22553.9
20419.1
Blue103
34119.5
20332.5
48618.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109580150200124103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
53.90.3
53.453.7
Auto3.2
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 21.5
203
#2
32.50.6
31.732.3
Auto0.4
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
34.00.3
33.433.7
Auto0.3
Teleop33.7
End0.0
red by 14.4
341
#8
19.50.6
18.819.4
Auto0.6
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
204
#27
19.10.3
18.518.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 0.6
486
#22
18.50.6
17.718.3
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0