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Red98
14422.0
162935.6
33724.9
Blue125
4837.7
37936.2
170816.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738605010015020025098125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.4
34.134.6
Auto3.3
Teleop32.3
End0.0
blue by 2.0
48
#2
37.70.8
36.737.6
Auto0.1
Teleop37.5
End0.0
Second
337
#16
24.90.4
23.423.8
Auto1.9
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 11.3
379
#1
36.20.8
35.236.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.3
End0.0
Third
144
#33
22.00.4
20.420.9
Auto3.0
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 5.6
1708
#25
16.40.8
15.416.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0