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Red98
150733.4
301530.3
326021.2
Blue73
14422.0
162935.6
33724.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795101001502009873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.5
30.831.2
Auto2.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
blue by 2.3
35.60.4
27.227.5
Auto3.3
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Second
30.30.5
27.828.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 5.4
337
#16
24.90.4
16.416.8
Auto1.9
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
3260
#22
21.20.5
18.719.1
Auto0.0
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 0.7
144
#33
22.00.4
13.513.8
Auto3.0
Teleop19.0
End0.0