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Red54
253421.9
261429.9
448418.6
Blue54
101419.0
188525.6
395425.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70694060801001205454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.4
30.530.1
Auto1.2
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
1885
#10
25.60.4
26.526.1
Auto1.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
2534
#13
21.90.4
22.622.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3954
#14
25.20.4
26.125.7
Auto0.8
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
4484
#15
18.60.4
19.318.9
Auto0.6
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 0.4
1014
#19
19.00.4
19.919.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0