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Red60
253421.9
261429.9
448418.6
Blue52
112617.6
499121.3
426922.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71580501001506052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.2
30.129.9
Auto1.2
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 7.2
4269
#12
22.60.2
22.922.6
Auto0.6
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Second
2534
#13
21.90.2
22.221.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 0.6
4991
#11
21.30.2
21.521.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4484
#15
18.60.2
18.918.6
Auto0.6
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 1.0
1126
#29
17.60.2
17.917.6
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0