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Red0
174310.4
332413.1
402711.1
Blue8
25447.7
313813.0
20518.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2934020608010012014016008

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3324
#43
13.12.1
14.912.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
3138
#50
13.02.2
16.113.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Second
4027
#41
11.12.1
9.17.0
Auto0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 2.9
2051
#46
8.22.2
9.57.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Third
1743
#40
10.42.1
7.25.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.7
End0.0
red by 2.7
2544
#44
7.72.2
9.27.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0