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Red6
174310.4
150733.4
266511.5
Blue13
264118.9
44674.9
3067.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48370206080100120140160613

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.43.5
29.325.8
Auto2.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 14.4
2641
#35
18.91.4
23.622.3
Auto0.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
2665
#32
11.53.5
13.910.4
Auto1.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
red by 4.0
306
#48
7.42.3
6.74.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
Third
1743
#40
10.43.5
5.11.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.7
End0.0
red by 5.5
4467
#54
4.92.3
9.97.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0