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Red18
44674.9
46014.4
403115.7
Blue29
77218.5
454715.6
404927.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2641060801001201401601829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4031
#21
15.70.9
11.910.9
Auto1.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 12.0
27.70.9
17.316.4
Auto0.1
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Second
4467
#54
4.90.9
7.66.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 13.6
772
#27
18.50.9
17.316.3
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
4601
#53
4.40.9
9.78.8
Auto0.1
Teleop4.2
End0.0
blue by 11.3
4547
#24
15.60.9
5.74.7
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0