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Red30
15620.1
25447.7
40504.2
Blue46
162935.6
426922.6
3067.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244804060801001201401603046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#18
20.10.1
12.913.0
Auto1.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 15.5
35.60.0
24.224.2
Auto3.3
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Second
2544
#44
7.70.1
6.36.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 14.9
4269
#12
22.60.0
17.717.7
Auto0.6
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
4050
#52
4.20.1
9.79.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.4
End0.0
blue by 3.2
306
#48
7.40.0
4.44.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0