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Red62
454715.6
426922.6
395519.6
Blue14
30629.4
20518.2
350418.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4123060801001201406214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4269
#12
22.61.9
17.719.6
Auto0.6
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 4.0
3504
#26
18.61.0
13.612.6
Auto0.5
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
3955
#17
19.61.9
17.018.9
Auto1.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 10.2
3062
#45
9.41.0
7.06.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Third
4547
#24
15.61.9
4.76.6
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 7.5
2051
#46
8.21.0
5.74.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0