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Red11
174310.4
44674.9
25447.7
Blue36
12817.2
29110.1
541321.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145104060801001201401601136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1743
#40
10.40.3
6.05.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 11.0
21.40.9
15.514.6
Auto0.0
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
2544
#44
7.70.3
8.58.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 9.4
128
#20
17.20.9
15.614.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
4467
#54
4.90.3
6.25.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 5.2
291
#36
10.10.9
16.115.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0