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Red56
499121.3
40504.2
30629.4
Blue66
174310.4
188525.6
77218.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28480204060801001201401605666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4991
#11
21.31.8
20.622.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 4.3
1885
#10
25.61.5
24.025.5
Auto1.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
3062
#45
9.41.8
8.410.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 9.1
772
#27
18.51.5
17.218.7
Auto0.3
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
4050
#52
4.21.8
3.65.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.4
End0.0
blue by 6.2
1743
#40
10.41.5
5.77.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.7
End0.0