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Red26
25447.7
12817.2
30629.4
Blue0
101419.0
112617.6
46014.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33470206080100120140160260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128
#20
17.20.8
17.917.2
Auto0.5
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1014
#19
19.01.2
21.119.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
3062
#45
9.40.8
10.29.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 8.2
1126
#29
17.61.2
19.818.6
Auto0.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
2544
#44
7.70.8
8.57.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.9
End0.0
red by 3.4
4601
#53DQ
4.41.2
5.64.4
Auto0.1
Teleop4.2
End0.0