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Red186
491836.6
367447.9
95563.4
Blue176
382630.3
448884.4
252140.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301440100200300400500600186176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
63.42.4
59.962.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
blue by 21.0
84.41.7
81.883.5
Auto0.0
Teleop84.3
End0.0
Second
47.92.4
45.648.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
red by 7.1
2521
#25
40.91.7
36.938.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Third
4918
#28
36.62.4
31.533.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 6.3
3826
#49
30.31.7
28.630.3
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0