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Red71
204636.2
177833.6
549529.9
Blue99
290742.2
84723.1
159552.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910601502007199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#17
36.20.1
29.529.7
Auto1.7
Teleop34.5
End0.0
blue by 16.6
1595
#12
52.80.2
43.042.8
Auto2.2
Teleop50.6
End0.0
Second
1778
#46
33.60.1
22.022.2
Auto0.4
Teleop33.2
End0.0
blue by 8.5
2907
#34
42.20.2
36.135.9
Auto0.2
Teleop42.0
End0.0
Third
5495
#35
29.90.1
16.816.9
Auto0.5
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 6.8
847
#61
23.10.2
23.323.1
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0