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Red102
99735.8
322134.0
323843.1
Blue138
299047.8
214730.4
445049.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75100050150200250102138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#19
43.11.0
36.937.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop43.3
End0.0
blue by 6.3
4450
#21
49.31.9
37.539.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop49.5
End0.0
Second
997
#36
35.81.0
22.423.4
Auto0.2
Teleop35.7
End0.0
blue by 11.9
2990
#13
47.81.9
41.543.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.0
End0.0
Third
3221
#26
34.01.0
22.623.6
Auto1.1
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 3.6
2147
#31
30.41.9
20.422.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.9
End0.0