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Red72
358621.2
378739.8
95563.4
Blue139
323843.1
549529.9
366364.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107114020030040050060070080072139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
63.42.0
54.352.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
blue by 1.1
64.51.1
59.260.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop64.8
End0.0
Second
3787
#33
39.82.0
41.839.7
Auto0.7
Teleop39.2
End0.0
blue by 3.2
3238
#19
43.11.1
40.141.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Third
3586
#52
21.22.0
16.014.0
Auto0.3
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 8.6
5495
#35
29.91.1
18.219.3
Auto0.5
Teleop29.4
End0.0