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Red72
371135.3
358835.2
214935.0
Blue68
382630.3
511130.3
99735.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10181501507268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3711
#38
35.31.5
33.131.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
blue by 0.5
997
#36
35.81.0
31.130.1
Auto0.2
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Second
3588
#56
35.21.5
33.932.4
Auto0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0
red by 4.8
5111
#48
30.31.0
27.026.0
Auto0.7
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Third
2149
#50
35.01.5
34.933.4
Auto0.9
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 4.7
3826
#49
30.31.0
29.428.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0