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Red162
94861.6
378739.8
177833.6
Blue97
302419.3
451335.5
95563.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116995015020016297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#4
61.62.2
53.655.8
Auto11.3
Teleop50.3
End0.0
blue by 1.7
955
#10
63.40.4
56.355.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop63.5
End0.0
Second
3787
#33
39.82.2
39.541.7
Auto0.7
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 4.3
4513
#16
35.50.4
28.127.7
Auto0.4
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Third
1778
#46
33.62.2
24.927.1
Auto0.4
Teleop33.2
End0.0
red by 14.4
3024
#59
19.30.4
21.020.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0