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Red106
574828.4
491148.2
406150.9
Blue98
460829.1
252254.7
549529.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115995015020010698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#11
50.90.5
48.347.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
blue by 3.8
2522
#20
54.70.4
51.951.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop54.8
End0.0
Second
4911
#45
48.20.5
42.742.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.4
End0.0
red by 18.3
5495
#35
29.90.4
23.022.6
Auto0.5
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Third
5748
#58
28.40.5
25.625.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.4
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4608
#39
29.10.4
30.329.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.3
End0.0