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Red140
151041.8
448884.4
546827.6
Blue124
204636.2
321831.0
420537.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14288050100200250140124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.40.0
79.879.9
Auto0.0
Teleop84.3
End0.0
red by 46.6
4205
#44
37.71.2
36.938.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Second
1510
#14
41.80.0
36.236.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
2046
#17
36.21.2
34.836.1
Auto1.7
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Third
5468
#53
27.60.0
23.023.1
Auto0.3
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3218
#40
31.01.2
27.728.9
Auto0.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0