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Red142
460829.1
367447.9
323843.1
Blue116
358835.2
159552.8
255729.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113111100120130140142116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.91.3
42.744.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.2
End0.0
blue by 4.9
1595
#12
52.80.0
51.051.0
Auto2.2
Teleop50.6
End0.0
Second
3238
#19
43.11.3
43.945.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 7.9
3588
#56
35.20.0
32.432.4
Auto0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Third
4608
#39
29.11.3
29.931.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.3
End0.0
blue by 0.8
2557
#55
29.90.0
31.931.9
Auto0.1
Teleop29.8
End0.0