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Red111
511130.3
491545.2
214730.4
Blue91
302419.3
568327.9
491148.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9187608010012014011191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.8
37.538.4
Auto0.1
Teleop45.2
End0.0
blue by 3.0
4911
#45
48.20.0
42.142.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop48.4
End0.0
Second
2147
#31
30.40.8
30.531.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 2.5
5683
#57
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
5111
#48
30.30.8
26.026.9
Auto0.7
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 11.1
3024
#59
19.30.0
20.620.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0