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Red189
259051.2
336049.2
552827.1
Blue166
311736.9
399642.0
544324.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12591050150200250189166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.1
50.151.2
Auto2.7
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 9.2
42.01.4
40.642.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
Second
49.21.1
48.149.2
Auto5.7
Teleop43.5
End0.0
red by 12.3
36.91.1
35.836.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Third
5528
#18
27.11.3
25.827.1
Auto0.5
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 2.7
5443
#26
24.41.4
23.024.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0